The human population is rarely discussed in the context of human-induced climate change. As I write this, on February 2, 2010 at noon Mountain Standard Time, the World population is estimated at 6,800,295,487 people (see figure above).
You can find the population at the U.S. Census Bureaus web site; check it as you start to read this post and then when you finish to get an idea of how rapidly the population is growing (http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/popclockworld.html).
What is astounding is that in the next hour, about 8600 people will be added to Earth and in the next year over 75 million will be added. This is about two “Californias” (see Table 1 below). That means that water and food and jobs and all the things that go into living in the 21st century have to be created for all these people. And it is not just next year, it is each subsequent year and the numbers keep rising exponentially. In only 4 years we will have added 309 million people, another “United States”!
|Time unit Births Deaths Increase|
|Year 131,940,516 56,545,138 75,395,378|
|Month 10,995,043 4,712,095 6,282,948|
|Day 361,481 154,918 206,563|
|Hour 15,062 6,455 8,607|
|Minute 251 108 143|
|Second 4.2 1.8 2.4|
Table 1. From U.S. Census Bureau (link above in text).
As we add people they use energy—directly and to produce all the extra food water and goods. Because energy is mostly derived from fossil fuels, release of carbon to the atmosphere increases. We can think of this as human’s “carbon legacy”. Last year Paul Murtaugh and Michael Schlax from Oregon State University, published an article titled Reproduction and the carbon legacies of individuals (Global Environmental Change, Vol. 19, No. 14-20, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.10.007). They found that “Under current conditions in the United States, for example, each child adds about 9441 metric tons of carbon dioxide to the carbon legacy of an average female, which is 5.7 times her lifetime emissions.” This and a report written by the London School of Economics are highlighted in an article in the Washington Post (September 15, 2009: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/14/AR2009091403308.html). The London report found that it is far cheaper to invest in preventing births than in supplying extra energy for extra people and is far cheaper than developing new solar or wind power ($7/ton vs. $51-$24/ton).
Oh, and as I finish writing this post, I checked the Population Clock:
Over 10,000 people have been added to the world!